Why long-term investing may be the safest move amid U.S. market volatility

Investor anxiety is growing, with about 80% of Americans expressing at least some concern about a possible recession, according to a 2025 survey. Million Dollar Roundtable (MDRT).

Some market indicators added to the unease. Shiller Cyclically Adjusted Price to Earnings Ratio (CAPE), a metric used to assess long-term valuation. It has climbed to levels seen during the dot-com crash of the early 2000s, suggesting stocks may be overvalued relative to historical earnings.

Still, analysts stress that valuation measures cannot reliably predict when a recession will occur.

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By comparison, the average bull market lasts more than 1,000 days, or nearly three years.

Financial planners warn that selling during a downturn could lock in losses. Historically, investors who stay invested and allow time for recovery improve their chances of achieving positive returns.

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Although each recession is different, the market always rebounds. Since the start of the most recent bear market in January 2022, the S&P 500 has gained nearly 45%. Since the dot-com bubble burst in 2000, the index has risen nearly 400%.

Consulting firm The Motley Fool notes that while broad index investing provides diversification, selective stock selections can outperform the market. Regardless of strategy, the most important step investors can take during uncertain times is to maintain a long-term perspective and stay invested despite short-term volatility, analysts say.