Nancy Guthrie case: Expert reveals what may have ‘directly led’ to kidnapper’s arrest, ‘He made other mistakes…’

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a retired FBI The analyzer claims Nancy Guthrie’s The kidnapper likely made a mistake that “directly led to his arrest.” Jim ClementHe, who has worked for the bureau for 22 years, said the masked man captured on surveillance video, known as “Porch Man,” was “not a sophisticated criminal.”

This image provided by the FBI shows surveillance footage from Nancy Guthrie's home on the night she disappeared in Tucson, Arizona. (FBI via AP) (AP)
This image provided by the FBI shows surveillance footage from Nancy Guthrie’s home on the night she disappeared in Tucson, Arizona. (FBI via AP) (AP)

The man is described as being of above average height and build. He was carrying a black Ozark Trail backpack, long-sleeved clothing, gloves and a ski mask. His identity remains unknown.

Clement told Fox News Digital that the video is full of clues.

‘He is not a sophisticated criminal’

Clement said the suspect is believed to have scouted the location before the kidnapping, but he still used leaves to obscure the Nest camera lens and possibly lost facial hair through the ski mask.

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“In doing so, I believe he exposed what appeared to be a tattoo on his wrist that would not have been exposed had he been fully prepared for that camera,” he said. “So what that tells me is that he’s not a sophisticated criminal. He was a little bit clumsy in this matter and he made other mistakes that I believe will directly lead to his arrest.”

Investigators have preserved important details about the home’s interior. However, some details have been leaked, and they paint a story, Clement said.

“I believe that means he threatened her with a gun while he was at her bedside,” he said. “He told her to come down and get to the front door and she realized he was taking me, it was very dangerous and I should fight. She did.”

The doorbell video does not show Nancy being taken away. When deputies arrived the next morning, the camera was missing. Clement said the kidnappers were probably shocked that authorities were still able to recover the video.

Learn more | What is unusual about Nancy Guthrie’s disappearance? Explain how this case differs from other missing persons cases

“Because of all the mistakes this man made, because of his incompetence and unprofessional behavior in this area, I believe he was exhibiting a lot of stress when the images were first released,” Clement said. “Anyone around him should have noticed this change in behavior and possibly recognized him for it.”

Unidentified hair samples were also recovered from the home. The Sheriff’s Department initially sent it to a private laboratory in Florida, which sent it to the FBI 11 weeks later for more advanced analysis.

“If it was a hair from the offender, that would identify him,” Clement said. “They would have his name.”

Currently, the total reward for information that successfully solves the case exceeds $1.2 million.

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